Market update

2024-04-09-1US.png

Even after the US Government spooked markets by moving US$2 billion (A$3B) in Bitcoin confiscated from Silk Road, BTC finished the week up 2% to trade at A$107,796 (US$70,939). Ethereum had a sudden surge overnight to A$5,584 (US$3,680), finishing up 6% on seven days ago. Did ETH just bottom out after falling below the 0.05 BTC mark for the first time since 2021? Who knows, but options data suggests there’s potentially another A$454 (US$300) of upside by the end of the month. Solana pulled back 1%, while XRP and Shiba Inu were flat, and Dogecoin reversed by 1.5%. The Crypto Fear and Greed Index is at 76, or Extreme Greed.

2024-04-02-1US Market Update

Bitcoin closed out the month and the quarter above US$70K (A$107.6K) for the first time — that’s higher than the 2021 peak. The halving is less than three weeks off, and the stars are aligning for the bulls. However, this cycle is very different, with Bitcoin hitting a peak prior to the halving for the first time, and the usual rotation into ETH and altcoins apparently skipped in favour of degens trading memecoins. Bitcoin finished the week down 1% on seven days ago at A$107,570 (US$69,753), while Ethereum eased back 2% to A$5,388 (US$3,500). Solana gained 1%, XRP dropped 5%, Dogecoin gained 15.7%, and RektCapital believes it’s now in a “macro uptrend.” The analyst also predicts a bright future for Shiba Inu (-1%). April is usually a good month for crypto prices, with Bitcoin’s historical increase averaging 14.03% while ETH usually increases by 23.97%. The Crypto Fear and Greed Index is at 79, or Extreme Greed.

Market Update 2024-03-26

Bitcoin has been on a rollercoaster ride lately. It dropped sharply from its recent all-time high but rallied 10% mid-week on news of three potential US interest rate cuts this year. Then it fell to near the A$93K (US$61K) level following a week of outflows from the Bitcoin ETFs, recovered slowly and suddenly surged back above A$108K/US$70K overnight. Santiment reports that almost 52K Bitcoin was accumulated by wallets holding 10-10K Bitcoin on Sunday US time alone. One swallow does not a Summer make, but Rekt Capital is already musing about whether the surge marks the end of the traditional “Pre Halving Retrace “, which would make it -18% this cycle compared to -19% in 2020. At the time of writing, Bitcoin was up 5% on seven days ago to trade at A$107,729 (US$70,433), while Ethereum gained 5% to trade at A$5,541 (US$3,622). Solana pulled back 2%, Avalanche lost 6.3%, XRP and Cardano gained 2%, and Dogecoin gained 22.7%. Independent Reserve has just listed Shiba Inu, which gained 7.1% this week. The Crypto Fear and Greed Index is at 75 or Greed. 

2024-03-19-1US

Bitcoin pulled back 5% this week — but remains up 31% over the past 30 days and is currently trading at A$103,770 (US$67.6K). Ethereum fell 12% to trade at A$5,388 (US$3,517) despite the network’s Dencun upgrade reducing fees to sub-cent levels. Part of the issue was that Solana’s soaring activity and price saw social media users comparing it very favourably to ETH’s slow and expensive L1, rather than ETH’s cheap and fast L2s. Solana surged 30%, hit a record-high market cap, and is now the fourth-largest cryptocurrency. XRP lost 8%, Cardano fell 11%, Avalanche gained 25%, and Dogecoin lost 19%, even though Elon Musk said Telsa plans to add it as a method of payment at some point. The Crypto Fear and Greed Index is at 77, or Extreme Greed.

Crypto market update 2024-03-12-1US

The 2024 bull run has begun in earnest with Bitcoin trading at new all-time high prices in US dollars, up 7% this week to US$72,500 (A$109,500). Ethereum has topped the US$4,000 mark for the first time since late 2021, and finishes the week up 8% to trade at US$4,064 (A$6,138). The market cap of Bitcoin is now higher than the market cap of silver, and Coinbase is worth more than PayPal. Around 1,500 Bitcoin addresses are becoming “millionaire wallets” every day, and MicroStrategy has just bought another US$821.7M (A$1.24B) of Bitcoin. With the halving just over a month away and market pricing in US interest rate cuts in June, the future looks promising. Almost everything else was up, including Solana (13%), XRP (12%) and Cardano (2%). However, Dogecoin pulled back 1%. The Crypto Fear and Greed Index is at 82, or Extreme Greed.

Crypto Market Update 2024-03-05-1US

Bitcoin officially broke through the A$100K barrier yesterday, and it’s at all-time highs against 14 of the world’s top 20 fiat currencies, including the euro, yen and pound. The ATH in USD is just above US$69K (A$106K), and the inflation-adjusted high is around US$78.5K (A$120.6K). At the time of writing, Bitcoin was up 24% on the same time last week and 57% for the month, to trade around A$103,850 (US$67,882). Ethereum gained 13.3% this week (55.9% for the month) to trade around A$5,506 (US$3,603). Everything else was up, including Solana (20%), XRP (18%) and Cardano (25%). Memecoins are flying with Dogecoin doubling, Shiba Inu gaining 241%, and the best-performing categories of the past seven weeks are “cat-themed memecoins” (up 199%), “fractionalised NFTs” (161%), “dog-themed coins” (164%) and “Elon Musk inspired coins” (108%). The Crypto Fear and Greed Index is at 90, or Extreme Greed. Traditionally, money has flowed from Bitcoin to Ethereum and then Altcoins; however, the Bitcoin ETFs may change that equation.