Market update
Bitcoin has blasted through the US$61K / AU$83K mark thanks to the arrival of Bitcoin futures ETFs. It’s just seen the highest ever weekly close and is not far off the all-time high price seen on April 14 when Bitcoin hit AU$84.7K. At the time of writing Bitcoin was trading just under AU$83.7K (US$62k, SG$83.7k), up 8% for the week and 28.2% for the month. The big question is whether the Bitcoin futures ETF will be a “sell the news” event? Ethereum gained 6.4% to trade just over AU$5,000, though it’s only up 9.2% for the month. Cardano was down 2% and XRP lost 5% however Polkadot gained 20%, Dogecoin (6%), Uniswap (7%), Litecoin (4%) and Chainlink lost 2.6%. The Crypto Fear and Greed Index is at 78, or Extreme Greed.
‘Uptober’ seems to be going well for Bitcoin in particular, with the price increasing 13% this week to around AU$78,000 (US$57.3K), its highest level in five months. Expectations are now high for a big fourth quarter, and with April’s ATH of AU$84.7K (US$64.9K) back in sight, “all data science models suggest that BTC will peak much higher than US$100,000 (AU$136K) in this cycle,” analyst Rekt Capital said. While alt season may be a little way off just yet according to trader Pentoshi, it is coming. Ethereum was up 4% to around AU$4,800 (US$3.5K), XRP (9.35%), Polkadot (9.1%). But Cardano fell 1.1%, Dogecoin (-3.8%), Chainlink (-5.6%). The Crypto Fear and Greed Index is at 71, or Greed.
September is historically the worst month for Bitcoin and the price was hit by fears over Evergrande and the latest China crackdown … but we have now entered what Crypto Twitter optimistically calls ‘Uptober’. The global crypto market cap is back at US$2.1 trillion (AU$2.9T) – more than the US junk bond market – and around 86% of the supply is currently in profit. Bitcoin is up 12% on the same time last week to trade just under the US$50K mark, at around AU$67K. Ethereum also jumped 12.3%, Ripple (9%), Polkadot (8%), Chainlink (11%). Cardano was flat. The Crypto Fear and Greed Index is at 54 or neutral. Despite the recent market rebranding of October, it’s also the month that saw the 1929 Stock Market Crash and Black Monday in 1987…
Despite new China ban FUD, the existing FUD about Evergrande, and the looming passage of the Infrastructure bill in the US Senate, Bitcoin has held up remarkably well (compared to where it started) and finished flat this week to trade around AU$58,150 (US$42.6K). BTC is also about 13.8% down on 30 days ago, but September is historically a poor month for returns. Ethereum was also flat, while Polkadot was down 1%, Ripple was up 1.6%, Cardano increased 3.5% and Uniswap was up 10.5%. The Crypto Fear and Greed Index is at 26, or Fear.
Crypto markets fell this week alongside traditional markets over mounting concerns Beijing will allow Chinese property giant Evergrande to default on its massive AU$400 billion (US$300 billion) debts. Bitcoin finishes the week down 10% to AU$57,600 (US$ 41.9K) while Ethereum lost 14% and is trading around AU$4,000 (US$ 2,950). Everything else lost ground: Cardano (-18%), Ripple (-18%), Polkadot (-23%), Dogecoin (-17%), Chainlink (-19%). In more positive news crypto assets held by institutional managers rose for a fifth straight week and El Salvador bought the dip, adding another 150 BTC to its stash.
Bitcoin has had a rocky week, with US$400 billion (AU$544B) wiped off markets on the day the Bitcoin Law went into effect in El Salvador. It finishes the week down 13.6% to trade around US$45.1K or AU$61,150. That’s also 4.5% down on a month ago. TVL locked in DeFi protocols has dropped from US$98.26B (AU$133.3B) to US$85.85B (AU$116.5B). Polkadot was a rare green shot, increasing by 3.4% but everything else lost ground including Ether (-17.2%), Cardano (-14.7%), Ripple (-17.9%), Chainlink (-23.2%). The Fear and Greed Index has pulled back to 44 (fear) which is down from 79 (extreme greed) last week. In more promising news, MicroStrategy has just bought 5,050 Bitcoin for an average price of US$48,099 (AU$65.3K) bringing its total to 114,042 BTC.
Bitcoin put in a strong showing this week and is up 8.3% to trade around A$70,400 (US$52.5K). According to Glassnode, the total amount of Bitcoin held on exchanges has hit a 2021 low. Ethereum did twice as well and is up 17.7% to trade just below A$5,300 (US$4K). It’s now within 10% of its all time high price of approximately A$5,645 (US$4.4K) set on May 12. To flip Bitcoin in market cap the price would need to double from here. Everything else was up: Cardano (0.7%), Ripple (20.6%), Dogecoin (9.3%), Polkadot (26%). The Crypto Fear and Greed Index is at 79, or extreme greed.
It was a week of consolidation for Bitcoin as it held on to most of the gains made over the month and traded in a range from A$64K (US$46.6K) to A$69K (US$50.3K). It’s currently down 5.1% from seven days ago to trade around A$64,600 (US$47.5K). Elsewhere prices eased across the board: Ethereum lost 3%, Cardano (-6.1%), Ripple (-11.3%), Dogecoin (-14.6%), Polkadot (-6.2%). The Crypto Fear and Greed Index is at 73, or greed.
Bitcoin topped US$50K (A$69.3K) in the past 24 hours, its highest level since early May. Bitcoin peaked at almost US$65K (A$87K) in April then lost more than half its value between mid-May and late June. Bitcoin is up 4% for the week and 44.6% for the month and it’s currently trading around A$69K. Ethereum increased 2.2% for the week and is trading at A$4,620. Cardano is up 35.4% for the week as anticipation for the “Alonzo” upgrade grows. The Crypto Fear and Greed Index is at 79 or extreme greed.
Although markets have taken a breather in the past 24 hours, the bull run appears to be back on in earnest, with most of the top coins up 50%-100% on a month ago. Crypto markets are once again near a US$2T market cap (A$2.69T) and 19.2% of Bitcoin hodlers have returned to profit since the low of $29.7K (A$40K) set in July. The total Bitcoin supply is holding unrealised profits equivalent to 50% of the market cap which Glassnode says indicates we’re experiencing a ‘bull market disbelief rally’. Influencer Lark Davis says the hash ribbons indicator is flashing a strong buy signal, which correlated with a 250% gain last time. Bitcoin peaked at A$65.5K but finished the week around A$62,850 up 1%. The Crypto Fear and Greed Index is at 72 (greed), while last month it was around 15 (extreme fear).
After bottoming out just above A$40K (US$29K) on July 21, Bitcoin rose for ten days in a row, its longest winning streak in eight years. It peaked above A$57,000 (US$42K) yesterday but the price pulled back overnight to around A$53,500 (US$39K). It’s up 5% for the week. Ethereum posted 12 straight days of green for the first time ever and is currently up 17.2% for the week to trade just under A$3600 (US$2.6K). Dogecoin was flat but everything else was up: Cardano (3.9%), Ripple (18.6%), Polkadot (29.9%), Uniswap (20%), Chainlink (30.3%), Bitcoin Cash (13.1%), Litecoin (7.6%), Stellar (5.5%), Aave (5.5%) and Synthetix (1.2%). The Crypto Fear and Greed Index briefly returned to ‘greed’ yesterday for the first time in three months, and is currently at 48, or ‘neutral’.